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r/babar/baba· u/TML5· 12d agoDue Diligence 13

Just a reminder...

Investor summaryBullish

BABA's revenue and gross profit grew 12x and 6x since 2014 IPO, yet the stock price barely moved, suggesting severe undervaluation.

Bull points
  • Revenue has grown 12x since the 2014 IPO.
  • Gross profit has grown 6x over the same period.
  • Stock price has only increased by 1.03x, indicating a massive disconnect between fundamentals and valuation.
BABA价值 / 回购
Post body
  • 2014 at IPO intraday high $ 120
  • 2015 revenue $ 12,29B , gross profit $ 8.47B
  • 2026 revenue $ 148,40B, gross profit $ 54.51B while BABA @ $ 124

Since 2014 :

  • Revenue 12X
  • Gross profit 6X
  • Stock price .....1.03X

What's wrong with this picture ???

Discussion · top comments12 selected
u/CraftyReplacement822 18· 12d ago

If you’re going to call this “due diligence”, it would be better to compare market cap instead of share price

u/OppSpotter 2· 12d ago

Yes and look at spaceX. Just because something ipo’ed at a price on par with today doesn’t mean it was not overvalued at IPO

u/TML5 1· 11d ago

the outstanding shares for BABA at the IPO were almost equal to what they are now, so adding the mcap is irrelevant IMO

u/CraftyReplacement822 1· 11d ago

I stand corrected…I had sworn I had looked at that before and seen that the shares outstanding had grown significantly, but looks like I was wrong!

u/Possible-Handle6473 8· 12d ago

Say it with me.

THE MARKET IS FORWARD LOOKING

your valuation doesn't mean shit if the market doesn't think growth picks back up

u/Fed_worker 6· 12d ago

nobody cares about the past. Look into the future and present

u/AzureDreamer 3· 12d ago

I think most can agree baba was overpriced at ipo and underpriced today.

Not totally sure how the comparison serves us.

u/phlizzer 2· 12d ago

Last time i Check gross Profit went down Like crazy

u/Substantial-Peace138 1· 12d ago

Okay folks. This post has a good point , the price doesn’t make sense at all.

The potential is huge with the AI transition and like Dr Bury said “the price could double and still be cheap.”

I firmly believe in 2 years time the price will be $260 -$300.

u/BaBaBuyey 1· 12d ago

Sentiment China 🇨🇳 Xi 💩

u/Specialist_Ad_2232 1· 12d ago

Dumb comparison. It could very well be that IPO was overvalued and now came down to more normal levels.

u/FeralHamster8 2· 12d ago

It’s not that but that a stock’s price is based on future expectations.

Right now earnings are a bit inconsistent quarter to quarter so the future is a bit uncertain.