NVDA
TechnologyBulls ⚔ Bears · how Reddit is debating it
Bull case
5 stances- Successfully wheeling cash-secured puts around the $205 strike with high win rates. ↗
- Options premiums decay favorably, allowing profitable buybacks of lower strikes. ↗
- Forced, price-insensitive buying from passive funds will consume up to 45% of the float. ↗
- Zero new share supply in the next 3 weeks due to lockups creates a severe supply-demand mismatch. ↗
- Options launch next week and retail holding penalties will fuel a gamma squeeze. ↗
- Acknowledged by the author as the only AI company currently making money. ↗
Bear case
4 stances- Extreme valuation ($1.75T) that is fundamentally disconnected from reality. ↗
- Inevitable crash expected in October when lockups expire and massive supply hits the market. ↗
- Discontinued support for older GPU models, degrading gaming performance. ↗
- Author's strong personal animosity and moral opposition towards the company. ↗
- Uncertainty about whether it's a good play for options specifically. ↗
- Absurd valuation: Trading at 112x sales with a $2.1T market cap on $18.7B revenue, while posting a $4.9B net loss. ↗
Credible voices
Catalysts · themes
Community split
Related narratives
近 24h 有 32 篇讨论聚焦「AI 资本开支」，整体偏空（情绪 -0.19）。代表标的：MSFT、SPCX、NVDA、MU、GOOGL。
近 24h 有 25 篇讨论聚焦「半导体」，整体中性（情绪 +0.03）。代表标的：NVDA、MU、AMD、SPCX、IBM。
近 24h 有 8 篇讨论聚焦「财报季」，整体偏空（情绪 -0.27）。代表标的：SPCX、MU、IBM、SMCI、NVDA。
High-quality DD posts
r/thetagangTheta gang member reports huge weekly profits selling premium on NVDA, MU, and INTC, praising MU's exceptionally high options premiums.
r/wallstreetbetsBullish on XNDU's room-temp photonic quantum tech, citing scalability, lower cooling costs vs IBM/Google, and PennyLane software.
Bullish on SPCX due to supply-demand mismatch, forced index buying, and options gamma squeeze before October lockups.
SPCX faces a short-term squeeze driven by forced passive buying, low float, and options, despite long-term lockup risks.
r/stocksAsks for a comparison or recommendation among GOOGL, AMZN, and NVDA without any supporting analysis.
The author seeks non-AI stocks/ETFs due to moral objections and personal frustration with Nvidia's GPU support, explicitly avoiding AI.
r/optionsOP has $1.6k for options, finds ATM calls too expensive, and asks for advice on IBM, SMCI, NVDA, or ANET ahead of earnings.
Author heavily criticizes SpaceX's $2.1T IPO valuation, citing an absurd 112x P/S ratio, net losses, and an inflated TAM.
r/investingSpaceX's $2.1T IPO valuation at 112x sales with $4.9B net loss is an unjustifiable bubble compared to Apple and Nvidia.
The author built a free AI stock forecasting tool and notes that it predicts NVDA to be bearish today.
LWLG's electro-optic polymer solves AI data center heat/bandwidth issues; success means parabolic gains, failure means zero.
Author asks if OpenAI and Anthropic IPOs will raise cash to buy Nvidia GPUs, acting as a catalyst for NVDA calls.
Pass on NVDA: China chip restrictions and Trump's conflict of interest make government contracts weak catalysts, argues the author.
r/stockmarketAuthor questions SpaceX's $2T+ IPO valuation, citing massive losses and retail FOMO, choosing to stay on the sidelines.
INTC is a massive bubble driven by political theater and unconfirmed Apple deals, with poor financials and inferior foundry yields vs TSMC.
INTC's rally is a delusional bubble driven by political theater with Apple, citing terrible financials and inability to replace TSMC.
Author argues INTC is a bubble driven by political pressure for an Apple deal, citing poor valuation and lost server share to AMD.
Author details Friday's market crash driven by macro fears and chip sell-offs, viewing NVDA and AMD as panic-driven buying opportunities.
Author asks why ARM is overlooked, citing its strong moat, high-margin licensing model, and broad AI exposure without manufacturing costs.
r/valueinvestingHigh valuations for NVDA/TSLA may be mathematically rational due to low discount rates, but imply terrible forward returns.
SK Hynix plans a U.S. listing on Nasdaq to capitalize on AI investor appetite, following a 230% stock surge this year.
Author argues ADBE is a value stock but warns of AI risks, emphasizing diversified portfolios over concentrated single-stock bets.
Author blames Friday's crash on strong jobs data, viewing the chip sell-off as panic-driven and a buy opportunity for NVDA and AMD.
The author suggests buying quality stocks like NVDA, TSLA, and MU that were sold off as investors chased the SpaceX hype.
Empty body post with a title claiming Nvidia will soon announce the acquisition of DATAVAULT AI.
Author goes long RDDT, arguing Reddit users' 20 years of data creation is as valuable as NVDA's hardware investment.
The author ranks NVDA, AMD, and AVGO based on TTM fundamentals, highlighting AMD's extremely high 159x P/E ratio.
Author warns of a tech bubble and 'shoeshine boy moment' as SpaceX IPO targets retail investors amid soaring AI valuations.
Author argues SpaceX is building space infrastructure and could reach a $2T valuation, comparing its potential to past tech giants.
Argues relying solely on Delta for option strikes is flawed, using NVDA's Volume Profile to show it trading below its 30-day value area.
SK hynix plans a US listing amid the AI boom, partnering with Nvidia and benefiting from massive hyperscaler AI capex.
Author regrets missing huge AI hardware gains while holding software, and now fears missing the space stock boom due to FOMO.
Author questions which ETFs will include SpaceX and worries about the volatility and 401(k) implications of such heavy weighting, comparing it to NVDA.
AI compute costs often exceed human labor, creating a revenue ceiling for AI firms and questioning tech giants' massive capex bets.
The author is asking for investment advice on choosing between GOOGL, NVDA, and AMZN.
WSB user goes 1.8x leveraged long on NVDA using margin and call spreads, citing 80% revenue growth and undervaluation.
WSB user leverages 1.8x on NVDA shares and long-dated call spreads, citing 80% revenue growth and undervaluation.
Blackberry's pivot to cybersecurity and QNX AI shows sustained profits, NVDA partnerships, and buybacks, signaling a strong turnaround.
The author boasts that their returns have easily outperformed Warren Buffett, SPY, and NVDA.
BlackBerry's pivot to cybersecurity and physical AI, backed by QNX adoption and sustained profits, signals a compelling turnaround.
Bullish DD on BB highlighting its pivot to cybersecurity and QNX OS, strong financial turnaround, and strategic NVDA partnership.
Discussion on whether the AI 'picks and shovels' investment thesis is shifting from NVDA to GOOG due to current valuations.
Keel pivots to AI data centers with 2.2GW power and Leopold's backing; 3 upcoming leases could trigger a multi-bagger rerate.
Wharton warns AI needs 2.7x productivity growth or it's a massive capital misallocation, mocking Jensen Huang's hype and macro risks.
Regulators approved Monday and Wednesday option expiration cycles for major tech names and IBIT, replacing XLF, starting late January.
SpaceX IPO could drain liquidity from NVDA, TSLA, and PLTR, creating a buying opportunity via capital rotation, not fundamental weakness.
NVIDIA's major customers are developing custom chips to replace its products, contributing to a recent 10% stock drop.
Author panics over NVDA's recent price drop and claims its biggest customers are building replacement chips, predicting a crash.