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r/stocksr/stocks· u/Ok_Eggplant3677· 7d ago 85

Queue The Lost Decade Posts

Investor summaryBullish

Ignore 'lost decade' fear-mongers during dips; hold your portfolio to avoid regretting panic selling like the author did.

Bull points
  • Historical resilience suggests market drops are temporary noise rather than structural failures.
  • Panic selling often leads to realized losses and tax inefficiencies without improving long-term outcomes.
  • Contrarian view that widespread bearish sentiment during dips is a signal to hold rather than sell.
降息与宏观
Post body

Every time we get drops like this, we get people saying we’re entering a “lost decade.” We also get people saying, “I sold at the top last week and now have converted everything to \[insert absurdly conservative investment strategy here.” These people are extremely annoying. They showed up during the Covid crash, the 2022 crash, the tariffs crash, the Iran War crash, etc. Please do not listen to or upvote these people. As embarrassing as it is, during one of the aforementioned crashes, I liquidated a considerable amount of my portfolio, incurring a large capital gains tax, because of these people. Do not be me. Hold your investments through the drop. Tune out the noise. Otherwise you will deeply regret it.

Discussion · top comments15 selected
u/Big_Barber1070 75· 7d agoTop

S&P is up 7.2% YTD

u/1-Dollar-Doge-Coins 18· 7d ago

Exactly, people don’t realize we’re still on pace to have an above average year for S&P500.

u/jcpopm 7· 7d ago

The S&P doesn't have a pace. It might go up 20% from here, or down 20%, or just go up and down every day and end where we are.

u/iD-10T_usererror 41· 7d ago

Tough to change the way people view the world after living through different times. If you lived through the Lost Decade as an adult that lost in the markets (like me), you will always fear it happening again. Younger people think we're ridiculous. My grandma lived through the Great Depression and was insanely frugal and saved weird things and I thought that was ridiculous.

u/Shadowrunner138 23· 7d ago

Are you sure you're not over using the term crash? lol

u/JabCrossE4E5Quark 10· 7d ago

"The Iran War Crash" wasnt even a fucking 10% drop in SPY lmao.

u/InsaneGambler 23· 7d ago

If you listen to Michael Burry and other doomsayers of course you're gonna have a lost decade!

u/InquisitorCOC 7· 7d ago

Michael Burry was very bullish on $LULU at beginning of this year

☠️☠️☠️

u/FewWait38 8· 6d ago

Lol he owns nearly 25% of their equity and is at a 52% loss, thanks for posting this

u/Hoosier2016 16· 7d ago

Your data points assume a one-time investment and only factors price change without distributions/reinvestment.

The vast majority of people are not dumping a lump sum in the market and letting it ride. They inject cash regularly over a long period of time.

Consistent investment through those long periods after a crash would see a recovery much, much quicker than your cherry-picked one-time investment at the worst possible time cases.

u/Alicyclobacillus 12· 7d ago

Hold? Depends what you own.

Jobs numbers were good, inflation is getting out of control. I know people are irrationally bullish because Trump got a new FOMC chair, but Powell is still on the committee. A dove, Miran, had to step down. Rates are determined by committee vote, not the chair.

We're likely headed for some rate increases. It won't cause a market crash, but it could cause a bear market for stocks.

It's almost always a bad idea to sell everything, but it's probably a good idea to rebalance some into positions that do well in bear markets.

I think Friday was institutional investors doing exactly this.

u/1-Dollar-Doge-Coins 9· 7d ago

I mean, it’s literally what on pace means. It’s obviously not a guarantee.

u/Singularity-42 9· 7d ago

With your luck we're probably heading for a crash, Friday was just the beginning 😂

u/Shadowrunner138 9· 7d ago

Wow, a whole 4 months. omfg, lol.

u/Wonderful-Process792 8· 7d ago

Queue them instead of Cue them!!