r/stocks
I ran NVDA and AAPL through 15 frameworks today and here’s what came back.
Author tested an AI research tool on NVDA and AAPL, highlighting AAPL's services margins and NVDA's AI buildout vs valuation risks.
- AAPL's services business boasts high 70% margins.
- NVDA's AI infrastructure buildout remains a strong fundamental driver.
- AAPL faces potential regulatory headwinds regarding the App Store.
- NVDA's high valuation poses a risk to its stock price.
Tested my stock research tool on NVDA and AAPL today.
So I’ve been building this AI stock research thing for a while. Ran both these today just to see what came back. AAAPL $307 basically at its all time high. Everybody’s focused on iPhone but services is where the money is, 70% margins. App Store regulatory stuff is the thing to watch. NVDA $205 all the short squeeze hype is garbage. Short interest is like 1% of float. AI buildout is still real though, that’s the actual bull case. Valuation is what could hurt it. Anyway I built the tool, it’s at norrisai.us. Use REDDIT-FREE-TRIAL and you can try all 15 frameworks free.
Throw me a ticker and I’ll run it.
Can you run AWAY?
HAHA dick
So what’s the answer? I’m not visiting your website unless you can show me something of value
MU
SPY - Bull vs Bear
Currently $737.55, down 2.58% today. Not a company, but here's the index breakdown:
Bull case: US corporate margins near historic highs, Al infrastructure adding $1-2T in enterprise spending, S&P 500 has recovered from every major crash in history. Every 20%+ correction has been a buying opportunity on a 3-5 year horizon.
Bear case: Forward P/E at 21x is 90th percentile historically. Magnificent 7 = 30% of the index
\- if tech multiples compress, the whole index feels it. Real rates still restrictive.
Fun fact: VOO and IVV do the same thing as SPY for 0.03% vs SPY's 0.0945%. Long term holders should consider switching.
Verdict: Best long-term wealth builder for most people. Short term - choppy until rate picture clears.
Full analysis at norrisaius — code REDDIT-FREE-TRIAL
QQQM - Long Term Thesis (3-5 Years)
Currently $290.35, down 4.78% today. Lower-cost QQQ alternative at 0.15% expense ratio.
Bull case: 10-14% annualized returns if Al monetization plays out, no prolonged recession, and rates stabilize. 3-year target $395-420, 5-year $475-535.
What needs to be true: Microsoft/Google/Meta actually monetize AI (evidence needed by
2026), soft landing on the economy, 10-year yields stay below 5.5%
Invalidation triggers: Sustained 10-year yields above 6%, forced antitrust breakups of top holdings, or 2+ quarters of -2% GDP contraction
Verdict: Solid core holding for long-term investors who believe in US tech dominance. Not exciting, but historically reliable. Today's dip is noise not signal.
Full 3-5 year thesis at norrisai.us — code REDDIT-FREE-TRIAL
Why does it give results from 2023 instead of last quarter? GME has over 9 billion in cash but it says 1 billion because it’s tracking 2023
RDDT, MRVL, AVGO, GOOG
AVGO — Broadcom 3-5 Year Investment Thesis
Down 21% from 52-week highs. Is this AI fatigue or genuine opportunity?
The thesis in one sentence: Broadcom is the picks-and-shovels play on AI infrastructure — every hyperscaler needs their networking chips whether NVIDIA wins or AMD wins.
What needs to be true:
Hyperscaler networking capex stays elevated through 2026-2027 ✓ (likely)
Gross margins expand from 52% → 55%+ ← this is the key metric to watch
Management resists big acquisitions and focuses on buybacks
3-5 year price targets:
Bull case: Gross margins hit 55%+, multiple re-rates to 17-18x → significant upside
Bear case: AMD/Intel custom silicon eats into switching market → multiple stays compressed
The real risk: Hyperscalers vertically integrating their own networking. Google, Microsoft and Amazon all have custom silicon programs — if they cut out Broadcom that's existential.
Verdict: 21% drawdown on a business with 50%+ AI infrastructure exposure and VMware integration delivering ahead of schedule looks like opportunity for 3+ year holders. Watch gross margin trajectory quarterly.
Full 3-5 year thesis at norrisai.us
MRVL — Marvell Technology
Down 16.74% today — something major happened. Check the news before touching this one.
The business: Fabless semiconductor designer (like NVIDIA but smaller). Designs chips, outsources manufacturing to TSMC/Samsung.
Revenue mix:
Data center (45-50%) — the growth engine
Automotive (15-20%) — emerging tailwind
Broadband/5G (15-20%) — mature, stable
Storage/Enterprise — slow but steady
Bull case:
Custom silicon partnerships with AWS, Google, Microsoft, Meta
AI infrastructure buildout drives data center demand for years
EV/automotive design wins have 15-25% CAGR potential
Fabless model = capital efficient, high margins
Bear case:
Today's 16.74% drop suggests earnings miss or guidance cut
Customer concentration risk — top 3 customers likely 40-50% of data center revenue
Foundry dependent on TSMC (geopolitical risk)
Automotive design cycles are 2-3 years — slow to materialize
Verdict: Great long-term semiconductor story but today's drop demands explanation before buying the dip. Find out what caused it first.
Full breakdown at norrisai.us
GOOGL — Alphabet Comprehensive Breakdown
$365.76 today, sitting between 52-week low ($163) and high ($404). Interesting spot.
The business most people misunderstand:
57% of revenue is Search ads — the most profitable advertising product ever built
Google Cloud ($33B, growing 26% YoY) is becoming a real third pillar
YouTube alone ($31.5B) would be a top 50 S&P company standalone
Waymo, Verily etc. = free lottery tickets attached to a cash machine
The AI paradox:
Gemini could either supercharge Search monetization OR cannibalize it. Nobody knows yet. This is the single most important question for the stock.
Bull case:
$110B cash, $70B annual free cash flow, 30% operating margins
Cloud + AI could re-rate the multiple significantly higher
Waymo is quietly becoming the most advanced autonomous vehicle program
Bear case:
DOJ antitrust case could force structural changes to Search distribution
OpenAI/Claude (👋) genuinely threatening search query volume
77% ad revenue concentration is the vulnerability
Verdict: Best business in the world at a reasonable price. The antitrust overhang is real but the cash generation is extraordinary. Hard to hate at these levels.
Full breakdown at norrisai.us
AVGO
NFLX, ASTS, RKLB, UMAC, RCAT
CVX, MRK, RDDT , KLAC
Big update just shipped: NorrisAI now pulls live earnings data directly from SEC filings and financial APIs. Real surprise percentages, real balance sheet figures, no more stale 2023 data. Thanks to everyone who pushed back on data quality — you made it better.