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r/valueinvestingr/valueinvesting· u/harold_liang· 6d agoIndustry/Sector 6

Lexar regional manager says that RAM prices are expected to double by the end of the year — 'discounts' and stabilized prices result from distributors getting rid of old stock or sourcing products from other regions

Investor summaryBullish

Lexar manager predicts RAM prices to double by year-end due to inventory clearance ending, signaling strong bullish outlook for memory stocks.

Bull points
  • Industry insider predicts a 100% price increase for RAM by year-end, indicating a severe supply-demand imbalance favoring producers.
  • Current low prices are attributed to temporary distributor inventory clearance rather than weak fundamental demand, suggesting a imminent rebound.
  • Stabilization of pricing signals the end of the destocking cycle, positioning memory manufacturers for margin expansion.
Bear points
  • The prediction relies on a single anecdotal source from a regional manager, which may not reflect global market dynamics or official corporate guidance.
  • A projected 100% price hike is an extreme outlier estimate that may face resistance from downstream OEMs or fail to materialize if demand remains soft.
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Post body

Still very bullish on memory stocks

Discussion · top comments6 selected
u/Aware_Secret_8910 9· 6d ago

When this whole fugazi ends there will be a lot of fines to be paid out

u/shakefistatsky 2· 5d ago

They will find the one guy that did it

u/kurdt-balordo 5· 6d ago

What a regional manager shoud say to full its monthly quota!

u/TechTuna1200 3· 6d ago

With the three big IPOs and Google + Meta equity sales, I only expect the AI Datacenters buildout ramp-up to continue. The money they raise is gonna be used for that exact reason. We are talking about 400-500B raised.

u/M4chsi 1· 6d ago

Per company it seems!

u/TechTuna1200 1· 6d ago

It's actually in total, and they are probably gonna spend it over multiple years.

For Google and Meta, it would of course be on top of the CAPEX they are already spending.