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r/optionsr/options· u/Canafornication· 5d ago 0

Liquidity, volatility and yield

Investor summaryBullish

Selling July $12 puts on ARCC for income, citing high dividend yield, decent IV, and strong liquidity as key factors.

Bull points
  • High dividend yield (10.2%) provides a safety cushion and enhances total return potential for cash-secured strategies.
  • Attractive implied volatility (IV Rank 56%) allows for premium collection above recent realized volatility levels.
  • Stock is trading near the lower end of its yearly range ($17.40-$23.42), offering a favorable risk-reward entry point.
Bear points
  • High correlation (0.85) with SPY exposes the position to broad market downturns despite stock-specific fundamentals.
  • Selling puts caps upside potential while retaining full downside risk if the stock breaks below the $12 strike significantly.
ARCCSPY红利收息
Post body

Found ARCC with descent IV, good dividend and ok liquidity.

Sold 12 put for in July for 0.35

39 days to expiration.

Delta -0.22

Theta -0.69

RoC 5 (estimated yearly return)

P50 88 (estimated probability for half of profit)

Days to P50 9 (estimated days to 50% profit)

This is the reasoning from the automated trade platform

Open the 18 put. Elevated relative volatility drove the decision, with IV rank at 56% and the July chain priced above recent realized volatility.

The put matches the positive view without using a naked call against the stock. The premium pays enough for a cash-secured IRA trade, and the half-profit estimate favors an early exit window rather than a long hold.

Risks center on price location and correlation. The stock trades at $18.77 inside a $17.40 to $23.42 yearly range, closer to the lower end, and correlation to SPY is 0.85. Liquidity does not block the trade. The 10.2% dividend yield helps the short-put setup, and puts carry no dividend assignment risk

All checks out, I think it's a descent trade. Thoughts?

Discussion · top comments6 selected
u/kylestoned 2· 5d ago
RoC 5 (estimated yearly return)

What is this and where does it come from? I can't figure it out.

u/Canafornication 1· 5d ago

Platform calculates it, with a bunch of params and extrapolates them for a time range

It tries to assess return “floor” for a trade

u/Tasty_Print 1· 5d ago

What do you mean return floor. How do you calculate the last two numbers. Some equation or formulaI don’t know?

u/Canafornication 1· 5d ago

Last two are probabilities metrics calculated by the brokerage

u/TastyTrading 2· 1d ago

nice find on ARCC, those dividends definitely make it appealing for short puts. 0.35 for 39 DTE with a 0.22 delta is a pretty decent credit for a 18 strike. I typically look for similar setups with high IV and a good theta per day. I usually use the options heatmap on ThetaPal to visualize the best strikes with fat premiums and where the theta decay is juiciest. do you usually target a specific RoC or P50 when you're screening for these?

u/Canafornication 1· 1d ago

I got this name while looking for dividend stocks to trade, with high IV and tradable options spreads.

I did this specific lookup manually, as the screenshot shows. I’m making this process automated and mechanical, part of the app I have. It’s pretty annoying process to check options spreads and liquidity.

As for trade parameters, strikes pick up, the execution - all automated with AI. I don’t do manual management of trades any more.