Easy gains with investing on 1st days of SpaceX?

Investor summaryNeutral

User shares AI-generated, likely inaccurate SpaceX IPO lock-up details and asks for opinions on potential gains.

Bear points

The post relies on hallucinated or speculative data from an AI regarding a company that has not yet announced an IPO date.
The premise of 'easy gains' ignores the high volatility and risk associated with newly public stocks and lock-up expirations.

Post body

I just asked AI how the lock-up periods work:

• After Q2 earnings (late June): up to 20% of insider shares unlock

• 70–135 days post-IPO: 7% unlocks 5 times (35% total)

• After Q3 earnings (Oct–Dec): another 28% unlocks

• 180 days post-IPO (mid-Dec 2026): all remaining shares fully unlocked

Elon Musk’s shares: locked for 366 days (full year)

Special 5%: Some employees/friends get shares exempt from lock-up entirely\[reuters\]

Standard IPOs = all shares unlock at 180 days. SpaceX = gradual releases to reduce selling pressure.

Thoughts?

Discussion · top comments

No comment snapshot fetched for this post yet.