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r/stocksr/stocks· u/rafaelnmartins· 3d ago 0

CPI today. Are you holding semi stocks?

Investor summaryNeutral

Author holds MU and AAOI due to strong technicals, despite fears that hot CPI and a hawkish Fed could pressure AI and growth stocks.

Bull points
  • U.S. economy remains stronger than expected with low unemployment, dispelling recession narratives.
Bear points
  • A hot CPI print could lead to a more hawkish Fed and higher Treasury yields, pressuring growth and AI stocks.
MUAAOI降息与宏观半导体
Post body

I have been looking the market all the week. Last week’s payroll numbers basically killed the recession narrative. The U.S. economy is still running stronger than expected, unemployment remains low, and now the focus shifts back to inflation. If CPI comes in hot, I think the market will have to price in a more hawkish Fed, higher Treasury yields, and potentially more pressure on growth and AI stocks.

Yesterday I sold som stocks but still holding MU and AAOI as its far away from the bear zone.

Are you holding semi stocks?

Discussion · top comments15 selected
u/Andrew_Higginbottom 1· 2d ago

I'm holding a semi ..does that count?

u/ILoveYosemitePark 1· 2d ago

ASML, MRVL, QCOM

u/PopoDontKnow 1· 3d ago

So in a year, when year-over-year CPI is at 1% because oil prices down 50%, should the fed drop interest rates to stimulate the economy?

What will raising rates do to the price of oil? There is no US shortage.

u/PopoDontKnow 1· 3d ago

Its a hold at this point for sure.

u/PopoDontKnow 1· 3d ago

Well this semi market was down in March. Nobody wanted it. So it was tested then. Now some new people jump in, but how many really?

u/PopoDontKnow 1· 3d ago

Yeah nothing really happened either. Bears came out because the market went down.

It went down because it got a bit too far ahead. Now its down its the end of the world? I mean in 3 weeks people will struggle to remember this small dip.

u/PopoDontKnow 1· 3d ago

CPI came in as expected. The headwinds now might turn to tailwinds as we go into 2027.

u/Timely_Sand_6162 1· 3d ago

Usual turbulence and volatility. Holding long term. Semi is foundation for future/tech.

u/Traditional_Royal_72 1· 3d ago

Hold them and don't sell. The discount days are ahead and try to buy more.

u/maxpain2011 1· 3d ago

When?

u/Powerful_Wishbone25 1· 3d ago

August

u/toonguy84 1· 3d ago

I spoke too soon. I feel horrible about what I said.

u/Eldermil 1· 3d ago

Where do you think inflation ends up?

u/WarnWarmWorm 1· 3d ago

This comment didn't age well

u/ceoetan 1· 3d ago

Still got 5 years of carryover losses backlogged.