redditalpha logoredditalpha
← Back to dashboard
Share
1100%
r/stocksr/stocks· u/Excellent_Cost170· 3d agoBroad market news 1

Breaking News: Trump said Iran has agreed to a deal and they just need to sign it. Oil futures?

Investor summaryBearish

Trump claims Iran agreed to a deal, potentially easing sanctions and boosting oil supply, which could pressure oil prices down despite SPR refills.

Bear points
  • Easing sanctions on Iran would increase global crude oil supply.
  • Increased Iranian oil exports could push gas prices below $2 per gallon, pressuring oil futures downward.
降息与宏观
Post body

Trump said Iran has agreed to a deal and only needs to sign it. During an Oval Office signing ceremony, he described it as major breaking news and suggested that once the issue is resolved, gas prices could fall below $2 per gallon.

Putting politics aside, if sanctions on Iranian oil exports were eased and additional Iranian crude entered the market, how much downward pressure could that realistically put on oil prices? Would U.S. purchases to refill the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) be large enough to offset a meaningful portion of that increased supply, or is the SPR simply too small relative to the global oil market?

Discussion · top comments28 selected
u/parkchanwookiee 52· 3d agoTop

Trump has announced a plan every week for two months

u/DepartmentWest5431 7· 3d ago

Every other day for two months

u/Necr0mancerr 22· 3d ago

What are you smoking?

u/Jsmith0730 21· 3d ago

“Trump said…” Imma stop you right there because anything that comes out of his mouth after that is bullshit.

Until Iran confirms it, ignore it.

u/decomposition_ 3· 3d ago

It’s crazy how many people haven’t learned since at least 2016 that this dude lies anytime he opens his fucking mouth

u/tlBudah 1· 3d ago

Not that simple. He lies a lot, but sprinkles in enough tru-ism's to keep people guessing. When it comes to peace treaties with Iran it all seems to be b.s.

My impression is that Iran is playing him. They want a war. They want us to be forced to invade.

It is impossible to tell based on what we hear from the 'leaders'.

u/SirStyx1226 17· 3d ago

Trump. Is. Not. A. Source.

u/markypots9393 14· 3d ago

Bud, I’ve heard this 69 times in the last 3 months.

u/jazzy095 3· 3d ago

Its literally been 39 times. Someone counted lol

u/markypots9393 1· 3d ago

69 in my heart

u/Sad-Ad-918 1· 3d ago

I think 39 was at the start of the week. Its about 40-41 by now. Lol

u/benjamin_noah 1· 3d ago

nice

u/jimbo1245 10· 3d ago

Trump's a fucking moron and I don't believe a word he says

u/cyphr0n 7· 3d ago

Trump always tell the truth.

u/OneTwoThreePooAndPee 6· 3d ago

Oil prices will spike when Hormuz opens. Supply will go up, and demand will go WAY, WAY UP as everyone rushes to fill their oil reserves before the US or Israel does something else dumb.

u/krokendil 5· 3d ago
  1. If they didnt sign they didnt agree yet.
  1. Iran will probably once again say they know nothing about a deal.
  1. Any deal will fail within 24 hours anyways.
u/zholo 5· 3d ago

Didn’t they just say they were gonna bomb them two hours ago??

u/d__max 5· 3d ago

Stop trying to play this topic , it’s not worth it. whatever the attitude is at 930 am it’ll be different at 4 .

u/DeciduousMath12 3· 3d ago

I don't see this on bloomberg. Fake news?

u/PM_NICE_TOES-notmen 1· 3d ago

Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it! Pump it and dump it!

u/my5cent 1· 3d ago

This is not news, you are all witnessing media commentators.

u/Electrical_Ranger497 1· 3d ago

I'm tired

u/jazzy095 1· 3d ago

No one buying shit

u/tlBudah 1· 3d ago

Tastee Ass Crotch Oreos

u/ProfessionalMall5413 1· 3d ago

This is literally like the 39th time he's said a deal is imminent. He lies; he's a liar; all the time. He has no credibility and no benefit of the doubt. He says things specifically to pump stocks or ease markets. In this case, the headlines are that we got a really bad inflation report primarily driven by energy; therefore, he wants to say that gas prices will be lower soon. It's literally not more complicated than that.

u/MAGATEDWARD 1· 3d ago

Bro you need to get your hearing checked. He said we are continuing to strike them hard today.

The breaking news he mentioned was we've been smuggling oil out every night. Millions of barrels. Which is why oil is at 90 and not 200 right now. Iran finally figured it out. That is why oil bounced a bit. Might not be able to do that anymore...

u/stocks-ModTeam 1· 3d ago

Off topic: Not bringing up stocks or the stockmarket.

Almost any post related to stocks and investment is welcome on r/Stocks, including pre IPO news, futures & forex related to stocks, and geopolitical or corporate events indicating risks; outside this is offtopic and can be removed.

Posts & comments that are purely political, religious (dealing with morality), or focusing on other types of investments not related to stocks such as real estate, crypto, designing websites, or even selling sneakers will be removed. An example of what wouldn't get removed: Discussing real estate when related to the ETF VNQ or real estate bubble affecting the stock market.

A full explanation of all /r/stocks rules can be found here: https://www.reddit.com/r/stocks/wiki/rules

u/denadena2929 1· 3d ago

is this a joke? Gas prices will take a year to go back to where they were, and nowhere will they be below $2 a gallon unless there is a massive recession