[IPO SpaceX prediction]

IPO launches can be very volatile on the first trading day. Some stocks run hard immediately while others drop quickly after listing.

For this upcoming IPO, I want to hear how people are positioning their expectations.

What is your probability split for day one movement

Example format

70 percent chance it goes up

30 percent chance it goes down

You can also add your reasoning if you want such as sentiment, hype level, sector strength, or market conditions.

Another question is whether you think this kind of IPO setup is a trap or not. In other words, do you think early buyers are likely to get caught in a quick selloff after listing or is there real upside momentum behind it

There is no right or wrong answer. I am trying to see how different people are thinking about IPO sentiment and short term behavior.

Do you usually buy IPOs on the first day or wait for price action to settle first?

Drop your predictions below