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r/stocksr/stocks· u/Verthverdi· 2d ago 0

Are you ready for the bloodbath tomorrow?

Investor summaryBearish

Pre-IPO futures for an Elon-backed space firm dropped $300B, raising concerns of a 'buy the rumor, sell the news' bloodbath on its debut.

Bull points
  • Huge retail demand and Elon's involvement could drive massive hype and a first-day pop.
  • Official IPO terms are massive ($75B raise, $1.75T valuation), indicating strong institutional backing.
Bear points
  • Pre-IPO futures valuation has already dropped by $300B, signaling a major cooling off before the actual listing.
  • Broader tech and space sectors are already weak, which could drag down the debut performance.
  • High risk of an ugly 'buy the rumor, sell the news' event given the already insane official IPO talk and expectations.
Post body

The projected valuation in pre-IPO futures has already dropped by around $300B, from above $2.3T in late May to roughly $2T now. That’s a pretty big sentiment shift before the thing even lists.

The official IPO talk is still insane. Around $75B raise, something like a $1.75T valuation, huge retail demand, and of course Elon attached to the whole thing. But that’s also exactly why I’m nervous.

If even the pre-IPO futures market is cooling off while tech and space names are already weak, I’m not sure the first trading day will be the easy moon mission people expect. This could either rip because of hype, or turn into one of the ugliest “buy the rumor, sell the news” events of the year.

Discussion · top comments30 selected
u/SirWillae 1· 2d ago

S&P 500 is now up 1.5% today. I hope we have more bloodbaths like this!

u/JacoPoopstorius 1· 2d ago

You know this for sure???

u/VegasWorldwide 1· 2d ago

Man 360 today.  I had to buy 30 shares.  All that AI investment is going to have them $500 per share

u/Reasonable-Carrot-15 1· 1d ago

No

u/mrbear682026 1· 2d ago

Don't forget the Hotdogs and Sodapop... but really I hate Drama Shows like this one... We have to wait unitl Monday for the conculsion.....

u/ShowerMotor 1· 2d ago

because everyone thinks this is market top, we will go a lot higher.

u/Garnatxa 1· 2d ago

buy more

u/mido_sama 1· 2d ago

I did bought some today .. I believe in MSFT and I’m a 20 year long customer and will using MSFT products in future, but it hurts to underperform spy500 on a bull year.

u/Garnatxa 1· 2d ago

be patient

u/L3g3nd8ry_N3m3sis 1· 2d ago

You’re making a finance statement and trying to use science about it

Solvent in the financial sense means still having money. The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.

u/InnerNetwork7314 1· 2d ago

🍿🥤love how you think, brother.

u/InnerNetwork7314 1· 2d ago

Yes, best advice is to not listen to advice on Reddit. If anybody knew anything about what the market would really be doing, they’d be on the fantail of a yacht right now off the Amalfi coast and not posting on Reddit.

u/VegasWorldwide 1· 2d ago

lol ain’t that right yet every other comment is how they know what’s going to happen

u/SaveAsCopy 1· 2d ago

Wby would it take the rest of the market?

u/Publick2008 1· 2d ago

It's only down because people are looking for short term gains. You'll be up in a month when their money comes back

u/mis-Hap 1· 1d ago

No bloodbath.

u/Purple-Bowler5448 1· 1d ago

Short then

u/Like-a-hawk 1· 1d ago

You had me at, "If even the pre-IPO futures market is cooling off while tech and space names are already weak".

Has anyone here been paying attention to space or tech stocks recently? Or, was this specifically referring to Microsoft?

u/Choice_Potato_6279 1· 1d ago

Clown.

u/Infamous-Body6938 1· 1d ago

How you doin op

u/deten 1· 1d ago

Here for the bloodbath /s

u/Manwithaview1277 1· 1d ago

The market will continue its upward momentum because there is so much cash inflow into equities. And where else are you going to invest? Real estate? Too expensive and no liquidity. CDs? Lucky to beat inflation. Pokémon cards? I don’t have the skill or risk tolerance to chase speculative stocks so I just put my investments into VOO and VXUS (70/30). Still have exposure to mega caps but take the timing out of the equation. Let’s see where we are in 10 years.

u/InvestigatorLife4268 1· 1d ago

Rugpull time, be ready.

u/0n0n-o 1· 1d ago

Doom and gloom, typical Redditor

u/mi3somn 1· 1d ago

aged like curd lmfao.

u/SvV_Ying 1· 1d ago

If people predict bloodbath and it doesn’t happen they should be banned for a month.

u/runnymountain 1· 1d ago

RemindMe! 2 weeks 🍿

u/CountHoliday8311 1· 1d ago

Index$$$ haven't show up yet

u/Tall_Brilliant8522 1· 1d ago

Like milk.

u/VegasWorldwide 1· 2d ago

lol and now almost 2 full points green