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r/valueinvestingr/valueinvesting· u/Icy_Abbreviations167· 2d agoStock Analysis 0

McGraw Hill (MH) is quietly becoming an AI education stock.

Investor summaryBullish

MH beat Q4 earnings with strong profit growth, AI adoption, debt reduction, and buybacks, despite flat top-line revenue.

Bull points
  • Significant earnings beat and margin expansion driven by recurring digital revenue and profitability improvements.
  • Strong AI and digital adoption with over 7.5M users of AI tools and upcoming Agentic AI pilots.
  • Solid capital allocation featuring substantial debt reduction and a new share repurchase program.
Bear points
  • Top-line revenue growth is stagnant, with Q4 revenue declining 2% YoY and full-year revenue barely growing.
MH财报季价值 / 回购
Post body

$MH Q4 FY2026:

Revenue: $463.7M vs. $441.2M expected

Adjusted EPS: $0.31 vs. $0.15 expected

EPS surprise: +106.7%

Adjusted EBITDA: $130.6M

Adjusted EBITDA margin: 28.2%

The top line was not exciting.

Q4 revenue fell 2% year-over-year, and full-year revenue rose just 0.1% to $2.10B.

But the profit story improved sharply.

Full-year recurring revenue increased 5.8% to $1.54B, now making up more than 73% of total revenue.

Digital revenue rose 5.5% to $1.43B.

Adjusted EBITDA increased to $744.3M, with margin improving to 35.4%.

Net income improved to $35.3M, compared with a loss of $85.8M last year.

McGraw Hill now has:

More than 100M active student and educator curriculum licenses

More than 7.5M users of AI-enabled learning tools

More than 25B learning interactions across its platforms

Management is also preparing to pilot a new Agentic AI tool tied to its precision education model.

Capital allocation helped too.

The company reduced gross debt by $645.6M in fiscal 2026 and approved a new $50M share repurchase plan.

It was a profitability, recurring revenue, digital learning, AI adoption, debt reduction, and buyback story.

Discussion · top comments3 selected
u/Curious_Particular22 1· 2d ago

The Form 4 pattern here, to me, seems unusually clean for a post-IPO name. Five different insiders have bought since the IPO last July, and nobody has sold (not a single share over 10.5 months). Six open-market purchases totaling $1.32M, all discretionary. Four insiders bought at the $17 IPO price the day after, including the CFO, CHRO, and CDIO. Steven Reinemund (former PepsiCo CEO/Chairman) has been the most active, adding $236K at $15.03 in November and $794K at $13.70 in February. Hard to ignore that one. The structural caveat is Platinum Equity still controls 86.5% of voting power post-IPO. Stock at $12.26 puts even Reinemund's most recent buy \~10% underwater. He's either early or wrong.

u/DoubleFamous5751 1· 23h ago

Ohhhhhh you have got to be fucking kidding me. McGraw Hill is public now?!

I’m interested. These guys have a lock on state and local testing.