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Globant (GLOB)
Investor summaryBullish
The author finds GLOB ridiculously cheap based on EV/FCF and views it as a cigarette butt value play with AI as a potential tailwind.
Bull points
- Extremely cheap valuation with an EV/FCF of 4.5.
- Limited downside risk as a cigarette butt play even if AI disrupts the sector.
- Strong upside and re-rating potential if AI acts as a tailwind or business remains stable.
Bear points
- The too good to be true valuation suggests potential hidden risks or deteriorating fundamentals.
- AI disruption could severely damage or squash the company's core business over the long term.
GLOB价值 / 回购
Post body
The numbers on this company looks ridiculously cheap.
EV/FCF = 4.5
Valued at 1.2bn USD, with FCF of 282m
Which means its probably too good to be true. Hit me with why I shouldn't buy this one?
It feels like a situation where if AI squashes it you still get your money back as it declines in next 10 years (cigarette butt). And of AI is a tailwind or it just treads water the price will strongly outperform and re-rate.
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