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r/stockmarketr/stockmarket· u/BGID_to_the_moon· 2d agoDiscussion 0

Korean markets triggered 2 circuit breakers this week, 1 after incredible MU earnings. Is this cause for concern?

Investor summaryBullish

Author worries extreme Korean market volatility and leverage crackdowns could contagion to US markets despite strong MU earnings.

Bull points
  • Micron delivered a massive earnings beat, indicating strong fundamentals in the memory sector.
  • US stocks have not shown panic yet, suggesting the Asian sell-off might remain contained for now.
Bear points
  • Extreme volatility and circuit breakers in Korea point to underlying issues like high leverage and potential regulatory crackdowns.
  • Proposed taxes on unrealized gains and shifts in HBM production could negatively impact South Korean tech giants.
  • Broad Asian market declines raise concerns about a macro phenomenon that could eventually contagion to US markets.
MU半导体财报季降息与宏观
Post body

Korean market volatility seems to have hit extreme levels this week. Markets first triggered circuit breakers on Monday night and then again Thursday night. The 2nd trigger was a bit surprising considering micron just delivered a massive earnings beat.

Experiencing 2 breakers in a week is already unusual. Triggering the 2nd one after a Micron earnings report that indicated Samsung and SK Hynix are thriving starts to concern me. It suggests the sell offs are not earnings related and that something else is going on behind the scenes.

I’ve seen a few slightly troubling reports come out of Korea this week. Law makers proposed taxes on unrealized gains and SK Hynix indicated a minor shift away from HBM production. But what concerns me the most is extreme Korean leverage and reports that lawmakers want to crackdown on the use of leverage. I’m wondering if both lawmakers and extreme market volatility will intensify fears among leveraged retail traders and lead to uncontrolled selling.

Additionally, the rest of Asian was also under water last night. Markets fell 2-4% across the board. Maybe there’s a greater macro phenomenon causing intense volatility in Asia that I’m not considering.

US stocks don’t seem to indicate any sense of panic so far. But I’m wondering if continued intense selling in Asia could have a contagion effect on American markets, especially because Korea’s top stocks are so closely tied to the AI narrative.

Discussion · top comments15 selected
u/CD274 67· 2d agoTop

Did you look into why? Korea introduced 2x ETFs late May and everyone got margin called

u/NurUrl 20· 2d ago

that margin guy sure love to make calls

u/Powerful_Wishbone25 6· 2d ago

Wait, his name is Margin? I thought it was Martin. Makes much more sense now!

u/guyoffthegrid 31· 2d ago

Yes. Sell. Everything.

u/Thawayshegoes 18· 2d ago

I sold everything. House, cars, wife and kids. What now?

u/joeyjoejoeshabbadude 26· 2d ago

Buy it all back at a higher price!

u/marcus55 28· 2d ago

It just means the electricity went off for a bit i wouldn't worry

u/DegreeConscious9628 27· 2d ago

When their main index is 60% in two companies what could go wrong

u/Odd-Professional3010 6· 2d ago

I'm afraid US market is headed in this direction with SnP500 concentration

u/Dick_chopper 6· 2d ago

Not even close

u/stuntondeezh0es 23· 2d ago

Kospi hasn’t had a circuit breaker since 2020 during Covid and now they’ve had 4 YTD. This ain’t normal. To say the US market has no panic is untrue. Rate hikes, debt, inflation, Iran war, energy crisis. See June 5. Add that to bubble fears, including today’s news about OpenAI delaying IPO to try and grab more cash from the market. This whole thing is a ponzi

u/IG_Triple_OG 13· 2d ago

No keep buying MU 🚀

u/apexglide1 13· 2d ago

The KOSPI is in the limelight for the first time in history and unsurprisingly Koreans are aggressively trying to ride the wave. IMO this is a combination of locals levering up to buy and subsequently taking profits. The fundamentals of SKH, Samsung, micron, KXIA, are all pretty solid and I’m not too concerned. In fact, I’m long DRAM because we’re starting to see demand for memory from other parts of the market like robotics. But it is pretty wild to wake up to sizable drops in your positions when the companies are executing really well.

u/Boys4Ever 5· 2d ago

South Korea reliving our 1920s

u/apexglide1 5· 2d ago

Definite possibility. But if the fundamentals and future prospects remain solid but the stock price keeps dropping, wouldn’t you consider that a buying opportunity? Sounds like someone else’s margin call is my opportunity.