r/investing
Are rare earth stocks really dead or are people just tired of waiting?
Author sees rare earths as a pre-boom bottleneck driven by AI, EV, and chip demand, highlighting MP, USAR, UUUU, and UAMY as promising.
- Physical inputs like magnets and metals are essential bottlenecks for AI, EVs, chips, and defense.
- Current sector pessimism is due to delayed timelines, not a lack of fundamental need.
- Specific companies show strong promise despite sector-wide dilution and permit delays.
- Many rare earth companies suffer from bad management, share dilution, weak projects, and excessive hype.
- The sector has been painful with long delays in permits, funding, processing, and offtake agreements.
I know this sector has been painful. A lot of these names had big stories, big expectations, then nothing really happened for a while. Some got diluted. Some are still waiting for permits, funding, processing, offtakes, government help, all of it.
So I understand why people call it a dead trade.
But I keep thinking about it differently.
The wheel came before the car.
At the time, the wheel was not exciting because there were no highways, no gas stations, no auto industry, no global supply chain built around it. But once the world found more uses for it, everything changed.
That is kind of how I see rare earths and critical minerals right now.
Everyone is talking about AI, drones, robotics, EVs, defense, wind, chips, data centers and the next industrial boom. But all of those things still need physical inputs. Magnets. Metals. Processing. Refining. Supply chain security.
Nobody wants to talk about the boring part until the boring part becomes the bottleneck.
I am not saying every rare earth stock will win. Most probably will not. There are plenty of bad companies in this space. Bad management, dilution, weak projects, hype, all of that is real.
But companies like $MP or $USAR or $UUUU or $UAMY and more seem very promising to me.
I think people just got exhausted because the story is taking longer than expected.
Maybe that means the trade is over. Or maybe this is the part of the cycle where everyone gives up before the real money starts paying attention again.
Curious what people here think. Are rare earth stocks actually done, or is this one of those sectors that only looks dead because the timing has not caught up with the need yet?